Going “all-in” is a popular expression, but the 2019 Los Angeles Rams really were. After Monday Night’s brutal loss to the red-hot Baltimore Ravens, it appears as if the Rams are almost all-out — out of the hunt for the playoffs and a return to the Super Bowl.
The ESPN Football Power Index gives the Rams an 8.8% chance to make the playoffs. Barring a surprise comeback in their final five games, the Rams’ offseason will start much earlier than planned. It’s going to be a tricky one.
In a league with a salary cap, the bill eventually comes for teams that go all-in. In 2020, it’s coming due for the Rams, whose cap situation will be among the most challenging in the NFL because their roster is one of the most financially top-heavy. L.A. projects to have a league-high $108.75 million in cap charges allocated to its five highest-paid players:
The Rams can trim a bit of that with a contract extension for Ramsey that drops his 2020 cap number. But even if they lop off $10 million, their fifth-highest 2020 cap charge would be $8.625 million for tight end Tyler Higbee, and their top-five cap allocation would come out to $103.675 million, which would still be the highest such figure in the league.
Even if the cap goes up by $10 million or more, as it has each of the past six years, and gets close to $200 million, the Rams are looking at about half of it committed to five players, which means they’d have to pay 48 more guys with about $91 million, which is tricky. It’s not that the Rams front office can’t do it, but they’ll face a fresh and difficult challenge in returning the team to the top of the NFC and keeping their championship window open.
Yes. How much more trouble could they be in than teams such as the Falcons or Vikings or Jaguars, all of whom have major cap problems?
In some ways, more than any of those teams because there’s really no way for the Rams to get any relief from their top five contracts. Goff, Donald, Gurley and Cooks all would cost the Rams more against the cap in 2020 if they were cut or traded than if they’re on the team. The Rams obviously aren’t cutting Ramsey after they just traded two first-round picks for him, so that figure is pretty hard and fast. The Rams did extensions for Goff and Gurley a year before they really had to because they wanted to ensure cost control on their best players. This raised eyebrows around the league, but until we see the next round of high-end quarterback and running back deals come in, it’s hard to say that the Rams made mistakes in committing to those guys early.
The Falcons, yes, are in major trouble. They have the second-most cap space committed to their top five players, at $101.1 million, and like the Rams, they’re stuck with four of those numbers (Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Jake Matthews and Grady Jarrett). They could save about $5 million if they cut Desmond Trufant, who occupies the No. 5 spot on the list. They can save another $8 million if they cut Alex Mack, who’s their sixth-highest projected cap number. The Falcons are three seasons removed from their Super Bowl loss to the Patriots and are confronting the closing of their window even as Ryan, Jones & Co. enjoy their just rewards.
The Packers project as our third-most top-heavy 2020 roster, with $94.15 million in cap space committed to five players. But unlike the Rams, Green Bay has some flexibility with those contracts. It can extend David Bakhtiari and knock down his 2020 cap number, and it can restructure and get money out of, say, Davante Adams‘ deal if it needs to. Plus, $94.15 million is already less than the Rams’ figure by $14.6 million, which for perspective is higher than DeAndre Hopkins‘ 2020 cap figure. That’s no small amount.
The Vikings and Jaguars rank eighth and fifth, respectively, on our list. Minnesota has $86.6 million committed to its top five for 2020, and Jacksonville is at $92.8 million. The difference is Minnesota could save $13.1 million by moving on from Everson Griffen and $8.8 million from Riley Reiff. Its top five is more flexible. Jacksonville’s highest cap charge for 2020 at this point is $22.5 million for Marcell Dareus, and it’s safe to assume that the Jags aren’t bringing him back at that number. They could save $20 million if they cut only him.
The weirdest team in this study might be the Eagles, who rank 11th with $83.9 million in 2020 cap space committed to five players but have no flexibility whatsoever. In fact, among the Eagles’ top 15 projected 2020 cap charges, only two players — Malcolm Jenkins and Nigel Bradham — would provide any cap savings if cut or traded. The Eagles have paid their Super Bowl heroes, and as a result, their roster is going to look very much the same next year as it does now. But unlike the Falcons and Rams, at least the Eagles beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl when they got the chance.
Who’s on the other end of this list?
The team with the least amount of cap space committed to its top five players in 2020 is the Bills, who have a total of $49.925 million committed to Mitch Morse, Star Lotulelei, John Brown, Jerry Hughes and Trent Murphy. Yes, it helps when you haven’t had to pay your quarterback yet. Josh Allen is projected to have Buffalo’s ninth-highest 2020 cap charge, at roughly $5.8 million, and the team can’t negotiate a new deal with him until after the 2020 season.
Right behind (or in front of) the Bills on our list are the Dolphins (duh), who have just $51.5 million in cap space committed to their 2020 top five and could knock off another $21 million by letting go of Reshad Jones, Albert Wilson and Ryan Fitzpatrick.
The third-lowest team on our list is the Patriots, with just $55 million in 2020 cap space committed to their top five players and flexible deals for their top three. And sure, it’s no surprise. You don’t beat the salary cap for two decades if you don’t know how to balance your roster. But it’s fair to point out that the Patriots either have to sign Tom Brady for 2020 or find another quarterback, and either of those solutions will bump their number up — even if Brady were to do another one of his trademark team-friendly deals.
All right, so the Rams can fix this in the draft, right?
Well, that’s not going to be easy, either. The Rams are dealing with the rare but deadly combination of little cap space and little draft capital. Due to the Ramsey trade, they don’t have a first-round pick in 2020 or 2021. This after not picking in the first round in any of the past three drafts. Their top three 2020 cap numbers belong to players they drafted who helped them win the 2018 NFC title. But you have to wonder where they will get the money to pay someone such as 2017 third-round pick Cooper Kupp when he’s eligible for an extension this offseason.
The draft is about finding value — finding players who perform at a high level before they’re owed big money. Goff, Gurley and Donald all provided that, and Kupp is providing it now. But with no first-round pick in 2020 and only four total picks projected for 2021, the Rams are going to have to nail a very high percentage of their picks if they want to solidify this roster through the draft in the short term.
Yuck. So what can the Rams do?
1. They’re going to need to dominate the second and third rounds of the draft. This might not be a bad way to go. Their cap situation would make first-round contracts a burden anyway, and there’s a burgeoning theory around the league that the second round is where teams can find the real value.
I asked Colts general manager Chris Ballard about this during training camp because he seems so obsessed with second-round picks, and he admitted that he is. Especially for a team picking late in the first round, as the Rams would have done the past couple of years, sliding back into the second instead of staying put in the first and taking a player on whom it didn’t have a first-round grade makes sense.
Teams don’t get the fifth-year option in such cases, but as Ballard told me, that fifth-year option for first-round picks can be a curse instead of a blessing, as it can complicate contract negotiations with a player a team wants to keep or force a tough decision on a player the team might not be sure about. If the Rams can find instant contributors in the second and third rounds of the next two drafts, there’s no reason to think they can’t put, say, an offensive line back together in short order.
2. They’ll need their stars to play like stars. After the Rams made the Ramsey deal, general manager Les Snead told me that a player as good as Ramsey allows the team to take some chances and do some bargain-hunting at the positions around him — i.e., he’ll make the rest of the secondary better, so maybe the Rams don’t have to go out and pay premium prices for safeties and other cornerbacks.
It’s not a bad thing to pay guys such as Donald, Goff, Gurley, Cooks and Ramsey top-of-market salaries if they’re making Pro Bowls and helping the team win games. The problem this season is that the Rams aren’t getting their money’s worth out of some of those guys. If that swings back in the other direction in 2020, the cap issues won’t loom as large.
3. Develop and adapt. One of the simplest answers to the question of what went wrong for the 2019 Rams is that the offensive line fell apart. They lost center John Sullivan to retirement and guard Rodger Saffold to free agency, and they have dealt with injuries along the line. Veteran left tackle Andrew Whitworth could be headed for retirement at the end of this season. The Rams need the young guys in the pipeline — guys such as Joe Noteboom, Bobby Evans and Austin Corbett — to develop into mainstays, or they won’t be able to protect Goff or get the run game going reliably again.
Player development is, of course, a function of coaching, but it isn’t the only one. Some players and coaches with whom I’ve spoken the past couple of weeks have told me that they’re surprised the Rams didn’t make some changes to their offensive schemes coming into the season. Everyone around the league knew they loved to run 11 personnel — one RB, one TE and three WRs — but there was a thought that they’d add more wrinkles than they have and maybe work in those talented, young tight ends more. Instead, they haven’t done enough of that — through Week 12, they have run 11 personnel for 78.8% of their offensive plays, which ranks second in the league. Coupled with the line issues, that has set the offense back.
Sean McVay wasn’t a two-year wonder. He’s a talented and smart coach who will have to sit with the lessons learned from this season and figure out how to make sure the unexpected problems that arose don’t repeat themselves. The smart money is on him to figure it out. But given the draft and cap issues the Rams are facing the next couple of years, it’s going to be tougher than it was the first time.
Bill Belichick – Cam Newton will have to win Patriots’ starting QB job
If Cam Newton is to succeed Tom Brady as starting quarterback of the New England Patriots, he’ll have to earn the job in training camp. Bill Belichick stopped decisively short of naming Newton the team’s QB1 on Friday.
“That spot is the same as all the other spots on the team. We have a long way to go. We’ll see how things turn out,” Belichick said in his first public remarks since Newton signed with the team. “I can’t control how players perform; that’s up to them. We’ll give everyone an opportunity and see what happens. I don’t know.”
Belichick has been consistent with that type of approach in his 20 seasons as Patriots coach, although there was no question who would be starting at quarterback once Brady seized the top job in 2001, helping the franchise to its first of six Super Bowl championships.
Brady’s free-agent departure to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in March has created a mammoth void that Newton — based on career résumé — is the leading candidate to fill after agreeing to a one-year contract with the club in late June.
“We spent quite a bit of time with Cam, [had] a number of different people, and a number of different conversations, just trying to see how the fit would be. It was very positive on our end. I’m glad it worked out,” Belichick said.
Newton’s primary competition will be 2019 fourth-round pick Jarrett Stidham, a fellow Auburn alum. Brian Hoyer, an 11-year veteran, is also on the depth chart alongside undrafted free agent Brian Lewerke of Michigan State.
Stidham served as the Patriots’ top backup last year, and he helped organize throwing sessions with receivers in suburban Boston for several months in the offseason. Once Newton officially joined the Patriots, he connected with some of the team’s pass-catchers in Los Angeles over the last month, such as Julian Edelman and 2019 first-round draft pick N’Keal Harry.
But Newton has ground to make up after missing the team’s virtual offseason program during the coronavirus pandemic.
“The meetings were beneficial for all of us — for the players, the staff — kind of bringing things together. I felt like we did what we could do. We got a lot out of the opportunities we had,” Belichick said, acknowledging they were different from being able to practice on the field.
As for how the Patriots will build a playbook without naming a starting quarterback, Belichick said it will be the same as it has been over the first 20 years of his tenure.
“You set up a general structure that you implement. Everybody needs to learn certain fundamentals and certain basics. Every player, no matter how long he’s played — whether it’s two years or 20 years — there is still a basic progression to training camp at that player’s position,” Belichick said. “That’s where we’re going to start. That, in my opinion, is what needs to be done, regardless of who the player is or what position he plays. …
“I don’t think you start off in training camp with your football team putting in a triple-reverse, or double-reverse pass, or things like that which might highlight a particular player. Those are the kind of things that come down the road a little bit.”
While the Patriots’ plans to replace Brady will be closely watched, so too will how the team adapts to having an NFL-high six players opt out of the 2020 season, a group headlined by linebacker Dont’a Hightower, safety Patrick Chung and starting right tackle Marcus Cannon.
Asked his reaction to the opt-outs, Belichick said, “I respect all of them. I talked to those guys and they explained their situation. They had to make the decision that was best for them and I totally respect and support it 100 percent.”
Belichick added that he was unsure if there would be more players who might decide to opt out of the season.
“Everybody has to make their own individual decisions on that. They have to weigh their own situation,” he said. “Each one of us is unique and we all have different lives, situations, families, environments and so forth and so on.”
NFL training camp 2020 – Joe Burrow, Jordan Love, Jerry Jeudy rocking team gear
Plus, Kyler Murray got in some work in the Arizona heat — it’s a dry heat, right? — and we got a behind-the-scenes look at how some teams are keeping their players and staff safe in the time of COVID-19.
Here’s what you need to know from camps across the league:
Top news of the day
Free-agent wide receiver Antonio Brown has received an eight-game suspension without pay for multiple violations of the NFL’s personal conduct policy, the league announced Friday.
Brown had been the subject of an NFL investigation following an accusation of sexual misconduct at his home by an artist who was working there in 2017. He also pleaded no contest in June to a felony burglary with battery charge and two lesser misdemeanor charges related to a January incident with a moving truck company outside his home in Hollywood, Florida. In announcing the suspension, the NFL said that Brown was directed to continue counseling and treatment. The league also said that any further violations would likely result in harsher discipline.
Ryan Clark discusses whether teams will take a chance on Antonio Brown now that he has been given an eight-game suspension.
Houston Texans coach and general manager Bill O’Brien on Friday said the team is “working hard” with quarterback Deshaun Watson‘s representatives on a contract extension, and that “we want him here for a long time.” Watson, a first-round pick in 2017, was eligible for a contract extension for the first time this offseason. He made less than $3.8 million in 2019, which was just 4.88% of the Texans’ cap. He is scheduled to make $4.4 million during the 2020 season.
“Deshaun is a great player, an even better person, and we want him here for a long time,” O’Brien said. “… I know that we’re working hard. We’re not going to really talk about it in the media, but obviously we feel so strongly about him and the future of him in this offense, in this organization, and we want him here for a long time.”
All-Pro defensive end Cam Heyward would like to retire as a Pittsburgh Steeler but is concerned that might not happen due to a lack of movement on a contract extension. Heyward enters the final year of his deal, and there have been no substantive contract discussions between the Steelers front office and Heyward’s agent, Michael Perrett of Element Sports Group.
“I thought we’d be further along in the process. In a normal year, we might be,” Perrett told ESPN. “The current situation (with the pandemic) has led to a lot of uncertainty, but NFL business is still moving forward. Cam would love to retire a Steeler, but at this point, he just doesn’t know how all of this is going to play out.”
Cincinnati Bengals rookie quarterback Joe Burrow isn’t shy about accepting the expectations thrust upon his shoulders this offseason. If and when the season begins, Cincinnati wants the top overall pick in the 2020 draft to come and be successful immediately. In his first news conference since the Bengals selected him, Burrow said he shares the same aspirations in his first season in the NFL.
“Going into my rookie year I expect to play well and I expect to win a lot of games,” Burrow said when asked about reflecting on recent success that includes a Heisman Trophy and a national title. “If I look back now, I’m doing myself a disservice and the team a disservice.”
Detroit Lions safety Jayron Kearse has been suspended three games by the NFL for violation of its substance abuse policy. Kearse, 26, signed with the Lions in March after four seasons in Minnesota, where he played in 62 games with five starts, making 79 tackles and defending eight passes.
Kearse was charged with DWI and carrying a firearm without a permit last October, when he was with the Vikings. Kearse apologized for his actions back in October, saying the arrest is “not a reflection of who I am as a person.”
What our NFL Nation reporters saw and heard today
Bill Belichick held his first media availability Friday since players and coaches reported for training camp, and the biggest takeaway is that he isn’t naming a starting quarterback. Over the last 18 years, while Belichick never named an official starter, there wasn’t much question who would be QB1 in New England. Now? “That spot is the same as all the other spots on the team,” Belichick said. “We have a long way to go. We’ll see how things turn out. I can’t control how players perform. That’s up to them. We’ll give everyone an opportunity and see what happens. I don’t know.” — Mike Reiss
Newly acquired safety Bradley McDougald — a.k.a. the other player in the Jamal Adams trade — said his goal with the Jets isn’t to become the next Adams, but to continue to play the way he did in Seattle. He said his strengths are versatility and pass coverage, adding, “I’ve had some success against some of the biggest-name tight ends in the game.” The Jets’ plan is to start him at strong safety. McDougal said all the right things in his Zoom call with reporters, not sounding bothered at all that he went from a perennial contender to the Jets. — Rich Cimini
The Ravens set the NFL’s all-time single-season record for rushing yards last season, but rookie second-round pick J.K. Dobbins still believes he can make an immediate impact. “I don’t know how patient I can be,” he said Friday. “My goal is not to be patient. I was not taught that in college. Don’t be patient; take advantage of your opportunities. [I’m] not saying that I’m going to start or anything, but I feel like if I just work hard enough and show the coaches that I can play at this level, then I’ll be on the field. My goal is to help the team win the Super Bowl, not sitting on the bench.” — Jamison Hensley
One of the great stories of training camp last year was 2018 fifth-round pick Cole Madison. He made the team after sitting out his entire rookie year to focus on his mental health. A year later, he won’t get that chance. He was waived on Friday. He likely wouldn’t have been ready to practice because of the recovery ongoing from the torn ACL he sustained in practice last November. — Rob Demovsky
Ball security is a point of emphasis for Carson Wentz this offseason after finishing with the second most fumbles in the league last year (16). He and the coaching staff have analyzed every one of those fumbles, and are anxious to finally get to work on it on the field. “You dive into it, try to figure out why it’s happening, how we can correct it, and what we can do to emphasize it as we go,” said QB coach/pass game coordinator Press Taylor. — Tim McManus
I guess the Mitchell Trubisky revenge tour officially kicked off today. We’ll see how long that tour lasts, but in the meantime, Trubisky told us today that he’s “out to prove everybody wrong” when asked about all the people that have written him off. Here’s the full quote:
“For me it’s very motivating. You’re always going to have people writing you off. It’s got to light a fire under you which it has for me and I’m just trying to prove everybody wrong and prove my teammates right. There is just so much hard work that goes into it. And for people who write you off, I mean, that definitely motivates you in a way that you just want to go out there and play as best you possibly can. So I’m definitely fired up. And I just … You’ve got to make it happen.” — Jeff Dickerson
No news is good news for the Panthers in terms of making it to Friday with no players on the NFL COVID-19 list. That paves the way for players to enter Bank of America Stadium this weekend, likely Saturday, and officially begin training camp in e revamped facility. Carolina also has had only one player, undrafted rookie Jordan Mack, opt out this season so far. First-year coach Matt Rhule hasn’t gotten many breaks in terms of preparing for this year, but this has to help his rebuilding effort. — David Newton
The Falcons now have five players on the reserve/COVID-19 list after adding starting defensive tackle Tyeler Davison and reserve quarterback Danny Etling to the list on Friday. Davison and Etling join safeties Jamal Carter and Jaylinn Hawkins as well as fullback Keith Smith. Sources indicated both Carter and Smith were asymptomatic and doing well, while the status of the other three is unknown. The Falcons are not allowed to comment on the players, meaning they can’t confirm which ones tested positive for the coronavirus or are under quarantine restrictions. The Falcons are set to begin conditioning work next week. — Vaughn McClure
After speaking with medical professionals prior to the start of training camp, the Bills figured positive tests were going to come, but after five positives in four days the team took preventative measures and sent players home Thursday, conducting the rest of their meetings virtually. Only rookies, quarterbacks and rehabbing players were in the facility this week, so the team sought to get out ahead of any potential outbreak before it happened. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
The Giants are one of the few teams going the 90-man roster route this year for training camp. That means they will be split into two groups for practices, weight training and pretty much everything until trimming their roster to 80 by Aug. 16. Coach Joe Judge revealed Friday that his quarterbacks, including Daniel Jones, will be in Group 1, which reported last week and consists of rookies, first-year players and previously injured veterans. This means that Jones and the rest of the quarterbacks room won’t be co-mingling with the veterans at least for a few weeks. Why? “For us, it was important to get the quarterbacks in that first group so we can start their clock right away and get them on the field and keep them healthy,” Judge said. — Jordan Raanan
ESPN Senior Writer
Broncos OLB Bradley Chubb, who tore his left ACL in Denver’s Week 4 loss to the Jaguars last season, was asked Friday if he would be ready for this year’s season opener and he said: “No doubt, I feel like I’ll be ready to go.” Chubb added he will gradually do more and more when the Broncos do start their full on-field work in camp in the weeks to come. Coach Vic Fangio had said earlier this week that Chubb wasn’t quite 100 percent yet in his recovery, but “was pretty damn close.”
Washington running back Derrius Guice has suffered three knee injuries in his first two seasons and has yet to touch the ball more than 10 times in an NFL game. But he’s still one of the team’s most intriguing offensive players. In five games last season he averaged 5.83 yards on 42 carries. He also had a 45-yard touchdown on a screen pass. He must prove he can stay healthy; it’s a big question now. They still have Adrian Peterson; they signed third-down back J.D. McKissic and drafted versatile back Antonio Gibson. But if Guice stays on the field, he’s a big weapon. “I always tell him this, ‘the only thing you did this past year is you were an appetizer, I want the whole steak, I want the whole lobster, I want the whole thing,'” said Washington running backs coach Randy Jordan. — John Keim
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) July 31, 2020
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) July 31, 2020
Simba is ready to find his roar 🦁 pic.twitter.com/XNb19MliU5
— Washington Football Team (@WashingtonNFL) July 31, 2020
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) July 31, 2020
safety is our number one priority. pic.twitter.com/oUK6rigpsV
— Los Angeles Chargers (@Chargers) July 31, 2020
— Turf (@Turfthedog) July 31, 2020
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) July 31, 2020
— #DUUUVAL (@Jaguars) July 31, 2020
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) July 31, 2020
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) July 31, 2020
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) July 31, 2020
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) July 31, 2020
Physicals and body company today had me biiig cheesin… lol combine Cam 287 lol yr 10 cam 285… the consistency lol God is Good!!! pic.twitter.com/ltnYsvLR16
— cameron jordan (@camjordan94) July 31, 2020
Chicago Bears’ Mitchell Trubisky delivers warning shot to critics
“…I’m just trying to prove everybody wrong and prove my teammates right,” he said on a video call with Chicago media.
Trubisky, 25, is set to compete in training camp with veteran Nick Foles for the Bears’ starting job.
The second overall pick of the 2017 NFL draft had been Chicago’s unquestioned starter for most of the past three seasons, but his play regressed last year. Trubisky finished 28th in total QBR (39.4), tied for 27th in touchdown passes (17), 21st in passing yards (3,138), 32nd in yards gained per pass attempt (6.1) and 28th in traditional quarterback rating (83.0) as the Bears went 8-8 and missed the playoffs.
In 2018, Matt Nagy’s first season as coach, the Bears went 12-4 as Trubisky passed for 3,223 yards, 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions and rushed for 421 yards and three touchdowns.
Chicago acquired Foles from the Jacksonville Jaguars at the onset of the new league year and declared an open quarterback competition. The organization later declined Trubisky’s fifth-year option.
“For me it’s [the criticism] very motivating,” Trubisky said. “You’re always going to have people writing you off. It’s got to light a fire under you, which it has for me, and I’m just trying to prove everybody wrong and prove my teammates right. There is just so much hard work that goes into it. And for people who write you off, I mean, that definitely motivates you in a way that you just want to go out there and play as best you possibly can. So, I’m definitely fired up. And I just … You’ve got to make it happen.”
Foles, the MVP of Super Bowl LII while with the Philadelphia Eagles, enters camp with a slight disadvantage of not having worked on-field with any new teammates in the offseason. But Foles, 31, arrives in Chicago with strong pre-existing relationships with several of Chicago’s current offensive coaches, including Nagy, who spent time with Foles in Philadelphia and Kansas City before landing the Bears’ top job.
Both quarterbacks were inside the Bears’ facility Friday and participated in a walkthrough with the club’s rookies.
“I love competitions,” Foles said on a Friday video call. “I love competition at practice. But sometimes competitions, if you approach them the wrong way, become very toxic for a team and an organization because it becomes about ‘me’ and not about the team.
“So the hardest thing is how do I make it about the team? How can we make this offense better? Whoever is the best person at executing this offense, that can help the Chicago Bears win games and lead this team should be the starter.”
Nagy expressed confidence on Wednesday that Chicago will settle on a starting quarterback in advance of Week 1 — despite reduced camp schedules and the elimination of preseason games.
“Even though it’s a shortened preseason in regards to the preseason games and some of the practices, our coordinators have done a really good job of figuring out ways to we’re going to evaluate,” he said. “It’ll come to us. We feel very confident about that.”
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