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Week 10 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and more

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The Week 10 NFL slate is stacked with great matchups. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions.

Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information provides a stat to know for each game, and the Football Power Index (FPI) goes inside the numbers with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game projection. ESPN Fantasy‘s Kyle Soppe and ESPN Chalk‘s Mackenzie Kraemer hand out helpful nuggets as well. It’s all here to help get you ready for a loaded weekend of NFL football.

Let’s get into the full Week 10 schedule, including a battle atop the NFC West on Monday night.

Jump to a matchup:
KC-TEN | ATL-NO | DET-CHI
ARI-TB | BAL-CIN | BUF-CLE
NYG-NYJ | MIA-IND | LAR-PIT
CAR-GB | MIN-DAL | SEA-SF

Thursday: OAK 26, LAC 24
Bye: DEN, HOU, JAX, NE, PHI, WSH


Sunday, 1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup rating: 72.0 | Spread: KC -6 (48)

What to watch for: The Chiefs’ run defense is subpar (139 yards against per game), which is perfect for the run-oriented offensive identity the Titans say they want to have. Derrick Henry got only 13 carries last weekend in a loss to Carolina, another team that has struggled to stop the run this season. It will be imperative for Tennessee to get Henry touches to keep the ball away from the Kansas City offense as much as possible. — Turron Davenport

Bold prediction: The Chiefs will hold the Titans to fewer than 100 rushing yards and less than 4.0 yards per carry for the third time in four games. Kansas City is improving defensively to the point that Tennessee’s Henry won’t be much of a factor. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: Since making a quarterback switch from Marcus Mariota to Ryan Tannehill, the Titans’ offense has averaged 5.7 yards per play compared to 4.8 yards per play before the change under center.

What to know for fantasy: When a running back gets at least 14 carries against the Chiefs this season, he averages 109.4 rushing yards. Henry is averaging 18.2 carries per game this season. See Week 10 rankings.

Betting nugget: Patrick Mahomes is 9-3-1 against the spread (ATS) on the road in his career, and the over is 10-3 in those games. Read more.

Teicher’s pick: Chiefs 30, Titans 20
Davenport’s pick: Chiefs 28, Titans 20
FPI prediction: KC, 59.1% (by an average of 3.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: With or without Mahomes, Chiefs get big plays in pass gameMahomes sees increased workload in practiceTime for Titans to recommit to bread-and-butter running game


1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup rating: 60.7 | Spread: NO -14 (51)

What to watch for: The Saints are rolling with six consecutive wins, while Atlanta is off the rails with six consecutive losses. It’s hard to imagine the Falcons throwing Drew Brees off his game, since they rank last in the NFL with seven sacks, four takeaways and an opponents’ Total QBR of 66.6. — Mike Triplett

Bold prediction: Deion Jones, a New Orleans native, will pick off Brees for the fourth time in five games and for the third time in his hometown. — Vaughn McClure

Stat to know: Brees is 2-0 with an 86.3 QBR in his past two games against the Falcons, throwing seven touchdowns and just one interception. The Saints averaged 37 points in those games.

What to know for fantasy: The Saints are allowing the sixth-most yards per tight end target this season, and Austin Hooper ranks second among qualified TEs in yards per target this season. See Week 10 rankings.

Betting nugget: New Orleans has covered in six straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 7-17 ATS over the past two seasons, the worst mark in the NFL (2-6 ATS this season, tied for worst in the NFL). Read more.

McClure’s pick: Saints 35, Falcons 21
Triplett’s pick: Saints 33, Falcons 23
FPI prediction: NO, 77.0% (by an average of 9.9 points)

Matchup must-reads: Saints’ passing game can’t rely solely on ThomasFalcons have nothing to lose in coaching-staff shake-upBrees is back with one of NFL’s best OT tandems


1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup rating: 48.1 | Spread: CHI -2.5 (41.5)

What to watch for: How will each of the offenses execute? The Bears average 266.8 yards per game (29th in the NFL) and 4.5 per play (30th), but Chicago’s defense gives up an average of only 18 points (sixth). Detroit is the exact opposite. The Lions’ offense is fifth in yards per game and seventh in yards per play, but they have the league’s 31st-ranked defense. Something has to give on Sunday. — Jeff Dickerson

Bold prediction: Matthew Stafford puts up his fourth consecutive 300-yard game with three touchdowns, continuing a low-key MVP-level season most won’t pay attention to because Detroit’s defense continues to struggle. — Michael Rothstein

Stat to know: Chicago running back David Montgomery has 223 scrimmage yards and three scrimmage touchdowns on 48 touches over the past two games. He began the season with just 316 scrimmage yards and two scrimmage touchdowns on 82 touches in his first six games.

What to know for fantasy: Stafford ranks third in fantasy points per pass attempt this season (behind only Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson), but his point total has declined in three consecutive games against the Bears. See Week 10 rankings.

Betting nugget: Detroit has failed to cover three straight games, and Chicago has failed to cover four straight. In the past 20 years, the team with the better season ATS record is 23-4 ATS in matchups in which both teams enter the game with at least three-game losing streaks ATS. So far this season, Detroit is 4-4 ATS and Chicago is 2-6. Read more.

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Victor Cruz and Rob Ninkovich both expect the Lions to have no problem with the struggling Bears.

Rothstein’s pick: Lions 28, Bears 17
Dickerson’s pick: Lions 20, Bears 19
FPI prediction: CHI, 60.1% (by an average of 3.5 points)

Matchup must-reads: QB Trubisky wants Halas Hall TVs off to shield criticismThe ‘pieces to the puzzle’ of Detroit’s defense seem all jumbled up


1 p.m. ET | Fox
Matchup rating: 38.7 | Spread: TB -4.5 (52)

What to watch for: The Bucs’ defense surrendered 399 total yards last weekend to Russell Wilson, including 378 passing. This weekend, it faces Kyler Murray, whom Bucs coach Bruce Arians called “a real fast Russell Wilson.” But the Cardinals haven’t fared much better on defense, either, and they’ll face the league’s only pair of 700-plus-yard receivers in Mike Evans (842 yards) and Chris Godwin (766 yards). — Jenna Laine

Bold prediction: Kenyan Drake and David Johnson will each run for at least 75 yards and a touchdown as the Cardinals figure out that they have one of the best two-headed running back situations in the NFL. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to know: Per Elias Sports Bureau research, Murray has thrown 172 consecutive passes without an interception, the third-longest streak by a rookie in NFL history (176 by Derek Carr in 2014 and 176 by Dak Prescott in 2016).

What to know for fantasy: This one features two of the four worst defenses in terms of limiting fantasy QB production and two quarterbacks who have not one but two games of 25-plus points this season. See Week 10 rankings.

Betting nugget: Jameis Winston is 4-11 ATS and 7-8 straight up as a favorite in his career. And he is 1-7 ATS and 3-5 straight up as a favorite of at least three points. Read more.

Weinfuss’ pick: Buccaneers 42, Cardinals 31
Laine’s pick: Buccaneers 31, Cardinals 21
FPI prediction: TB, 71.8% (by an average of 7.8 points)

Matchup must-reads: Why Arians ‘failed at retirement’ and returned to coachingRebuild or reload? Bucs must decide on QB Winston’s future firstRB Johnson says he’s ‘definitely playing’ vs. Bucs


1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup rating: 32.2 | Spread: BAL -10.5 (44.5)

What to watch for: Bengals rookie quarterback Ryan Finley will make his NFL debut. But all eyes will be on the Baltimore offense. The division-leading Ravens have the best rushing attack in the league, and Cincinnati has the worst rushing defense. — Ben Baby

Bold prediction: The Ravens will run for 360 yards, the highest total for any team this decade. How’s that for bold? Baltimore leads the NFL in rushing and gained 269 yards on the ground against Cincinnati earlier this season. The Bengals have allowed 1,421 yards rushing, over 200 more than any other team in the league. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: Speaking of the Ravens’ run game, their 1,639 rushing yards are the most by any team through eight games since the 2006 Falcons (1,641). The most through nine games since the 1970 merger is 1,958 by the 1975 Bills.

What to know for fantasy: Ravens receiver Marquise Brown ranks 16th in yards per catch this season (minimum 20 receptions), and the Bengals are allowing a league-high 16.9 yards per deep pass attempt. See Week 10 rankings.

Betting nugget: Baltimore is 33-0 all time as a double-digit favorite, the only active franchise to never lose such a game. However, over the past 10 seasons, Baltimore is just 3-10 ATS in those games (0-2 this season). Read more.

Hensley’s pick: Ravens 26, Bengals 10
Baby’s pick: Ravens 24, Bengals 14
FPI prediction: BAL, 76.4% (by an average of 9.7 points)

Matchup must-reads: It’s a trap! Ravens must overcome biggest letdown game in NFL historyBengals WR Green has setback, out indefinitely


1 p.m. ET | CBS
Matchup rating: 27.8 | Spread: CLE -2.5 (40.5)

What to watch for: The Bills own the NFL’s top red zone offense, while the Browns have one of the worst. Star wideout Odell Beckham Jr. has only three red zone targets the entire season. After going 1-of-5 in the red zone last weekend, will Cleveland finally be able to get OBJ involved near the end zone? — Jake Trotter

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Classic matchup – Dallas Cowboys’ ‘America’s Team’ vs. New England’s ‘We are all Patriots’

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With their win last week against the Philadelphia Eagles, the New England Patriots guaranteed a 19th straight winning record and closed in on a Dallas Cowboys‘ mark that is among the most treasured in franchise history.

From 1966 to 1985, the Cowboys never had a losing record, a 20-year run that is an NFL record. Dallas won 13 division titles and played in two NFL Championship Games, 10 NFC Championship Games and five Super Bowls — winning twice. They finished first or second in their division 18 times. During the two seasons they did not make the playoffs, the Cowboys finished 8-6 (1974) and 9-7 (1984).

On Sunday, behind Cowboys coach Jason Garrett and Patriots coach Bill Belichick, the organizations with the longest runs of success in NFL history will meet at Gillette Stadium at 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox). The interconference matchup between the Cowboys (6-4) and Patriots (9-1) could conceivably be a preview of Super Bowl LIV.

Pro Football Hall of Famer Gil Brandt was one of the architects of the Cowboys’ success, and even he has to bow to the current streak put together by Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady. The Patriots’ record of 264-90 since Belichick became coach in 2000 is the best in the NFL over that span, and the franchise has appeared in nine Super Bowls, winning six. They have played in the AFC Championship Game 13 times.

“It’s a lot harder today to do what they’ve done than what we did because everybody is so much better,” Brandt said. “The competitive balance is so much better than before.”

Belichick’s appreciation for the Cowboys’ success goes back to his days as an assistant coach, competing against Tom Landry’s teams into the 1980s and seeing Jimmy Johnson return the Cowboys to Super Bowl glory in the 1990s. Also, it didn’t hurt that Belichick grew up watching Roger Staubach practice at Navy, where his father, Steve, coached.

“I have a tremendous amount of respect for the Cowboys organization, the history there, what they’ve created,” Belichick said. “Obviously, they’re probably the premier franchise in all of pro sports. That’s no accident. That didn’t happen overnight. With what Jerry [Jones] and Stephen [Jones] and the rest of the organization have put together there, and the history going back to Coach Landry and Coach Johnson, those are standards that I’d say all of us in the profession aspire to, look up to and aspire to meet the levels of success that they have achieved.”

There are similarities between the runs — from strong head coaches who defined their eras and quarterbacks who played their best on the biggest stages to defenses that wrote their own history and personnel folks who seemed to have all the answers. As the winning continued, the jealousy and contempt for both organizations grew louder than the appreciation of their successes.

The coaches

Brandt said Belichick reminds him of someone in particular: “I always call him a young Tom Landry.”

The former Cowboys executive said Belichick “understands the game in its entirety. He’s like [Landry]. He knows how to have the long-snapper snap the ball and correct it if it’s wrong. He knows how to play coverages. The amazing thing to me is week to week you never know what you’re going to get against him. … He’s the most amazing guy in the world. I don’t know how he finds time to do everything he does. I tell ya, this guy, if it were croquet, he’d find a way to win, or if it’s horse shoes, he’d find a way. The guy is the most amazing person I’d been around. I always thought Tom Landry was, but he’s on equal footing with Landry. The guy’s just utterly amazing.”

Bill Belichick

If the Patriots beat the Cowboys on Sunday, Belichick will extend his NFL record of 17 consecutive 10-win seasons. For context, former San Francisco 49ers coach George Seifert is second in NFL history with eight straight 10-win seasons. This has been a milestone season for Belichick, who earned his 300th career victory as a head coach (regular season and postseason combined) on Oct. 27 against the Cleveland Browns. He is the third coach to reach that mark, joining Don Shula (347) and George Halas (324). Brady said one of the things that best defines Belichick is his “competitive stamina.”

Tom Landry

Landry is among the NFL’s most iconic figures. He served as the Cowboys’ coach for 29 years, winning two Super Bowls. The Cowboys appeared in two NFL Championship Games ,as well, yet Landry was named the coach of the year only once. Known for his famed fedora, he was innovative on both sides the ball, introducing the flex defense and the motion offense. In today’s football, Landry never would have had the opportunity to develop his program. The expansion Cowboys went 0-11-1 in his first season and did not have a winning record until his seventh campaign.

The quarterbacks

Tom Brady

One of the great, clutch leaders in NFL history, the 18-time team captain is on the cusp of becoming the first 42-year-old quarterback to start every game in a regular season. This season, he became the oldest quarterback to start on kickoff weekend. Warren Moon had held the record after starting opening day for Seattle in 1998 at age 41. Brady’s sustained success and pursuit of excellence is captured in his answer when asked about his favorite Super Bowl ring: “The next one.” Brady has six, becoming the only player in league history to reach that number. Now in his 20th season with the franchise, he joins Darrell Green (20, Washington), Jackie Slater (20, L.A. Rams) and Jason Hanson (21, Detroit) as the only players with at least 20 NFL seasons played with one team.

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Safety Eric Weddle says he won’t share Ravens intel with Rams

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THOUSAND OAKS, Calif. — The Los Angeles Rams play the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football. It’s a critical game for the 6-4 Rams, who desperately need a win to remain in the playoff hunt, only a season after appearing in Super Bowl LIII.

But don’t expect the circumstances to compromise the ethics of Rams safety Eric Weddle, who played the past three seasons with the Ravens.

Weddle said Wednesday that he won’t be sharing any inside secrets about his former team.

“I could tell them a lot of stuff, but that’s just not who I am,” said Weddle, who signed a two-year, $10.5 million contract with the Rams after the Ravens released him last March. “So, we’re going to play it on the field and the best team is going to win.”

Rams coach Sean McVay, who calls offensive plays, often acknowledges Weddle’s football intelligence and has said the 13-year NFL veteran has provided him with insights and perspective since his arrival.

However, McVay said Wednesday that he had not spoken to Weddle about the nuances of the Ravens’ defense, which is limiting opponents to an average of 19.6 points per game (ranks 6th).

“In terms of some of the intricacies, I think he’s got a lot of loyalty to those guys even if he’s not there anymore,” McVay said.

It’s uncertain whether cornerback Marcus Peters, whom the Rams dealt to the Ravens in a mid-October trade, will share any specific insights about the Rams operation with his new team.

When asked if it could be considered unfair to share inside information about a former team, McVay said, “It’s totally at each person’s individual approach.”

However, it would seem the Rams, who have a 19% chance of making the playoffs, could use any and all information available to help slow down the 8-2 Ravens, who are averaging an NFL-best 34.1 points per game behind quarterback Lamar Jackson, the front-runner to win the NFL’s Most Valuable Player award.

Still, Weddle won’t budge.

“I have a lot of respect for that place, not only how it helped my career and rejuvenated my career, how they treated myself and my family,” Weddle said. “But it’s a very tight-knit group and what would I be — what kind of man would I be if I just turned my back on all of them?”

The Ravens signed Weddle to a four-year, $26-million contract in 2016, after he had a falling out with the San Diego Chargers, where he spent the previous nine seasons of his career.

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Antonio Brown countersuing Britney Taylor for defamation

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Antonio Brown is countersuing Britney Taylor for defamation and interference with his NFL contracts and endorsements, according to documents obtained by ESPN.

Brown, the subject of an NFL investigation over Taylor’s claims of rape and sexual assault, is denying the accusations against him and requesting a jury trial.

Taylor had served Brown with a lawsuit in Florida’s Broward County and gave him 45 days to respond.

In that response, Brown claimed his sexual relationship with Taylor was always consensual and that Taylor attempted to secure a $1.645-million investment from Brown for her gymnastics business shortly after Brown signed a $72 million deal with the Pittsburgh Steelers, the documents state.

Brown signed a confidentiality agreement with Taylor on March 8 while “under duress,” the documents state. Two days later, Brown was traded from the Steelers to the Oakland Raiders as part of a three-year, $54-million extension. The countersuit claims Taylor’s “false accusations” earlier this year affected his business dealings of which she had previous knowledge while spending significant time with him in 2017 and 2018.

In the lawsuit, filed in the Southern District of Florida, Taylor accuses Brown of sexually assaulting her on three occasions in 2017 and 2018.

The two knew each other at Central Michigan before Brown entered the NFL draft in 2010, and the documents state the two had cursory communication from then until 2017.

“In summary, after enduring a failed business endeavor and also failing to gain the relationship status she desired with Brown, Taylor began a vicious campaign of lies and deceit targeting Brown both personally and professionally,” Brown’s filing states. “Taylor’s acts have all but ruined Brown’s career, causing him to lose a number of substantial and lucrative business contracts, and impacting the public persona in such a manner as to cause Brown and his family significant personal and financial harm.”

The NFL, which interviewed Brown last week as part of the investigation, is aware of the filing, according to a source.

Brown is out of the league as troubles continue to follow him. After Taylor’s suit surfaced in September, Brown also was accused of sexual misconduct at his home by an artist who was working there in 2017.

Brown was released by the Raiders for conduct detrimental to the team and signed with the New England Patriots, who released him after one game.

Brown is trying to get back into the league and even apologized to Patriots owner Robert Kraft for all the drama he caused.

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